Most wheat in Tennessee is in the flowering period, the highest period for susceptibility to scab/FHB infection. While risk is estimated to be low for 'susceptible varieties', those using very old varieties should change the model to 'very susceptible' and consider the higher risk. Similarly, the scattered showers within the 10-day window recently will increase risk and might not be captured in the model. Consider protecting wheat from scab/FHB and use the fungicide efficacy table to chose the right product for your situation -https://cropprotectionnetwork.s3.amazonaws.com/cpn3002_fungicideefficac…

--Heather Marie Kelly, Extension Plant Pathologist, University of Tennessee-Entomology & Plant Pathology